My Georgia prediction: Got the winners right but wrong on the amount

It was closer than I thought it would be. Predicting the Georgia Senate races

Bad day for the Republicans... Here's National Review -

"The Trump Era Ends in Disaster in Georgia"

At some time today, Ossoff is expected to be declared the winner. The Senate will be split 50–50, and starting January 20, Vice President Kamala Harris will break ties. Chuck Schumer will be Senate majority leader, and Mitch McConnell will become minority leader in the chamber. And the Democratic Party will begin the legislative cycle with the White House and narrow control of the House and Senate. For Republicans, this outcome may not be the absolute worst-case scenario of 2020, but it’s not that far from it.

This is because Republicans couldn’t hold onto either Senate seat in Georgia. This is a state where Republicans had won every Senate election since 2002 — and the winner in the state’s 1998 Senate race was Democrat Zell Miller, who by the end of his term was giving the keynote address at the Republican National Convention. Republicans won every gubernatorial race in Georgia since 1998, despite what Stacey Abrams claims. In Georgia, Republicans won every lieutenant gubernatorial race since 2004, every secretary of state race since 2002, and every state attorney general race since 2006. Heading into the 2020 cycle, Republicans had won the presidential elections in Georgia in eight of the past nine cycles.

In 2014, the last major midterm election before Donald Trump descended the escalator and ran for president, Republicans won the gubernatorial election by more than 200,000 votes, and the lieutenant governor’s race and the down-ticket races by margins close to or exceeding 400,000 votes, while Perdue won the Senate race by more than 197,000 votes. In other words, up until very recently, Georgia was a really, really Republican-leaning state.

 

Comments

[Jessica]

Actually bad day for Americans but a good day for screwed up wokeness. Get ready for a full binge of identity politics.

[tom faranda]

Identity politics on steroids. And don't forget critical race theory.

[Damian]

Hooray! The end of darkness and into the light. How appropriate on the feast of Epiphany. God is great!

[Steven Shumer]

Tom

Thank you for sharing the article. It is easy to forget but today is truly a historical occasion. We finally have a female VP . VP Harris is also the first person of color to hold that position. Im hoping that Mr Faranda will share an article on that at some point. Lets see what the next four years bring.

[Valeria Kondratiev]

What a sad day. I never thought I’d end up living in the sort of place my parents emigrated away from

[NW 332]

Sad day is right! A mob of supporters of the sitting president invades the US Capitol and is attempting to break down the doors of the House of Representatives! The sooner this president and his lackeys are gone from power the better!

[tom faranda]

Of course it only works one way. I don't recall comments when people were attempting to break into the SC when Kavanaugh was confirmed. Or bemoaning the riots in DC a few months ago with the police ducking rocks, fires set, and statues pulled down. This is by and large a peaceful demonstration. The "mob" is entitled to show up and protest. It sure looks like a big "mob". But I agree, they shouldn't knock over barriers and call the police "traitors."

[NW 332]

This is not a peaceful demonstration! The mob broke into the Capitol and the US Senate chamber and attempted the break into the House chamber armed with baseball bats and other weapons causing damage and deliberate vandalism. Capitol Police had to draw their weapons on the House floor because of the mob trying to break down the doors. What a stain on our democracy! And what sets this apart from the other civil disturbances you try to equate it to, this attack on our Capitol was incited by the President of the United States!

[tomfaranda]

Absolutely. It's not a stain on Democracy, it's a stain on them. The fact that they are frustrated for a variety of reasons doesn't justify breaking into the Capitol or any other crazed action. It certainly hurts the cause. Equates them with Antifa and the other nut groups. I'm sure most people at the rally - and i know a few - did not expect this or will be participating.

[steven shumer]

"Dictators ride to and fro on tigers from which they dare not dismount. And the tigers are getting hungry." - Winston Churchill

[NW 332]

“Today, the United States Capitol — the world’s greatest symbol of self-government — was ransacked while the leader of the free world cowered behind his keyboard — tweeting against his vice president for fulfilling the duties of his oath to the Constitution.”

“Lies have consequences. This violence was the inevitable and ugly outcome of the president’s addiction to constantly stoking division.”

“Americans are better than this: Americans aren’t nihilists. Americans aren’t arsonists. Americans aren’t French revolutionaries taking to the barricades.”

-Senator Ben Sasse, Republican of Nebraska

[June]

Reporter: "What's the purpose of storming
congress?"
Protestor: "How do I know that?"

This is what is being reported to rest of the world.
ITV report: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UBp42536IhE

Come on Americans- you are all so much better than this! Pull your socks up - help us to rid the world of covid-19, and get your house in order. Life is much too short for all this terrible Trump nonsense and distraction.